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Multifamily’s Lowest-Risk Markets, And Its Highest

March 21, 2017

Multifamily’s Lowest-Risk Markets, And Its Highest

RICHARDSON, TX—The apartment market least likely to see a rent recession is not located in any of the Smile States, according to RealPage’s MPF Research.

March 20, 2017 | by PAUL BUBNY | GlobeSt.com

RICHARDSON, TX—For the nation’s least risky apartment market in terms of a rent recession, look outside the Smile States. So says RealPage’s MPF Research, which recently scored both the metro areas least likely and those most likely to experience a period of two or more consecutive annual rent decreases, based on a composite of variables ranging from rent gains to household income growth.

When it comes to avoiding a rent recession, the most solid multifamily market in terms of its recent metrics is Minneapolis, says MPF. The risk of rent recession in Minnesota’s largest city has been on a downward trend since at least the fourth quarter of 2014, although it spiked in Q4 2015.

In Q4 of last year, Minneapolis rent growth landed in the top decile historically, “seeing its strongest expansion since 2011,” according to a blog posting by market analyst Kyle Grace. “Absorption and occupancy growth landed in the 70th percentile or better and net inventory growth remains relatively subdued compared to what the market has seen in the past.”

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John E. Moriarty, ChFC
December 2015
February 3, 2016

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